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During the summer transfer window, many football players switch clubs, providing the perfect opportunity for player transfer betting. But how do you go about it, and which are the best football betting sites? Well, we have everything you neešŸ”“d to know about how, where, and on whom to bet.

Transfer windows give clubs the chance to improve their squads, be it by adding some new players or offloading deadwood from the wage bill. The best time to make these deals is the during the summer.

As for the players themselves, there are many reasons why they would want to look for a new club. Some of these factors include wanting to play at a higher level, searching for trophies, or disagreements with teammates and coš“”aching staff.

While the above may explain the when and the why, it doesn't explain š„¹the how. To get the mšŸ…ŗost out of player transfer betting, read on below!

Step 1: Pick a Transfer Rumour

Naturally, the first step is to choose who you want to bet on. If you're a šŸ‘football fanatic like me, your social feeds will be full of rumours and supposed bids regarding the biggest ongoing player transfers.

Research is key to giving you the best chance of getting predictions right. Why does a player want to leave? Has the player made demands before? Has he ever mentioned a desire to play somewhere else? Getting the answers to these questią½§ons can help you place more accurate wagers. Just keep in mind our two top tips:

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    Stick to a market you know (ex. Premier League)

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    Look for legitimatšŸ¬ešŸ’¦ sources (Ex. Fabrizio Romano and David Ornstein)

Step 2: Choose the Right Bookie

We've gone ahead and done the work for you here with our list of top ršŸ’«ecommended bookies šŸ¼above. All have been specially selected with player transfer betting in mind, offering great value for punters.

Transfer odds are super sensitive to fluctuation, so we shortlisted betting sites known to provide competitive odds and who are quick to update any changes in price.

Here are a few tips to make sure you choose the right bookmaker suited to your nešŸŒ„eds and pš“‚ƒreferences:

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    PšŸƒick one of our excellent bookmakers listed above.

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    Make sure you're happy with the markets offered on player transfš„¹ers.

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    Compare the odds with those offeredā€ by other bookies.

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    During the above step, look out for any specific sušŸ’Ÿmmer transfer specials and promotions.

Step 3: To Wait or Not to Wait

This is the trickiest step of the lot, but waiting for the right moment to place a bet could give you better odds or save you from making a bad bet. The question is, hāœ±ow can you accurately spot the right instance to place a wager?

Well, in short, you canā€™t. Itā€™s impossible to be sure of a transfer. Even if you place your bets early, deals could always fall through. On the flip side, waiting for a deal to be all but confirmed could prolong things until it's too late. Here are a two main tips to consider that may help you reacšŸŒ¼h a decision more easily.

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    If the player wants to play at a particularš“€ club, he may pā™”ush a move harder.

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    If a player is relź¦“uctant to leave, he may find it harder to choose another club if he has to, makā™ing things harder to predict.

Ok, so you know the how – let's go back to the why again! There are a few key reasons why you should bet on the summer transfer window and transfers in general, which we've highlighted below.

  • Lack of football in summer: Unless thereā€™s a World Cup or European Championship, the summer į€£months provide little footballing excitement. Transfers offer just that! And with more lucrative deals being struck every year, the window keeps getting more šŸ”œexciting.

  • Rumours are fun: Everybody loves a bit of gossip, and transfer rumours give you something to discuss and debate in the ošŸŒ ff-season.

  • It can help with bets during the season: Starting your resešŸ’Žarch from the summer window could provide some valuable information, which you could use to find value in ā™’your bets once the season kicks off.

You can still keep up to date with transfer rumours before the window opens, but the real fun kicks off when clubs can actually sell š’ˆ”and buy playersšŸ’. Our table below shows the dates for the Summer transfer window schedules, which vary depending on the country.

Country Summer Transfer Window Dates
Albania14 June ā€“ 31 August
Australia21 June – 12 September
Brazil3 July – 2 August
Bulgaria16 June ā€“ 7 September
Canada5 July – 2 August
Denmark15 June ā€“ 1 September
England14 June ā€“ 1 September
Finland13 July – 12 August
France1 July ā€“ 1 September
Germany1 July ā€“ 1 September
Italy1 July ā€“ 31 August
Japan17 July – 16 August
Kenya26 June – 21 August
Netherlands12 June ā€“ 31 August
Norway1 August – 31 August
Romania13 June ā€“ 4 September
Russia26 June ā€“ 14 September
Scotland14 June ā€“ 31 August
Spain1 July ā€“ 1 September
Sweden7 July – 31 August
Turkey26 June ā€“ 15 September
USA5 July – 2 August

From the Premier League to La Liga to Serie A and the Bundesliga, bookmakers are always quick to react to the latest transfer rumours. Once you sort the silliness from the factual, youā€™ll have a whole new world of betting opportunities to pounce on. Perhaps this is why betting on player transfers in football has become increasiną¶£gly popular over recent years.

 Player transfer bettišŸ”Æng allows you to wager on a certain player, or manager for that matter, to move to a certain club, or simply leave their current one. Other markets in this enjoyable field include to stay at the current club, which club a player will be at after the summer window closes, as well as which player will be at once the January window slams shut too.

Next Permanent Club

This is essentially betting on a player who, unless you know something no one else does, will already be in the news regarding a transfer to his next permanent club. This market lets you betź§ƒ on the next team šŸ­he will play for, but does not require you to nominate a particular transfer window when his move will occur.

Be sure to follow real journalists with strong club connectionsÜ« in order to get reliable updates. With the likes of Fabrizio Romano and Gianluca Di Marzio, keeping up with transfer rumours has become a lot easšŸŒœier. Taking advantage of the extremely accurate reporting of these journalists is a sure fire way to get more value out of your bets.

Remember, you can always bet on players NOT to move too, insteaź¦¦d opting to stay put at their current club.

Next Club Signing

Another way to look at transfer betting is to look at it from the signing teamā€™s point of view. This is to say, bet on the next player to join a club, any club. So, if you have a hunch that player X will be the next big money signing through the doors at, say, Manchester United, then this is the bet for you.

This can be a lot trickier, especially when betting on a big club. Top clubs will be dealing with several players at the same time, with deals being pushed forward or falling through at any moment. Research is key when using this type of bet, as keeping an eye out on the progress of a deal could be thšŸ…ŗe difference between a win and a loss. Smaller clubs that donā€™t have many targets may be easier, but they will offerā™‰ you lower odds.

To Break Transfer Record

A bet on this market would require you to successfully predict which club, either š’†™across the world or domestically, will smash through the existing transfer record within a designated time period.

For example, if you have read reports that Real Madrid has been persistent in their desired recruitment of a certain player, and that such a transfer would blow all others thatź¦Æ have gone before it out of the water, then this is the market for that bet.

WitšŸ€…h the monumental price tag placed on Neymar Jr in 2017, this one seem a little more out of reach. However, with ever more lucšŸ»rative buy out clauses and an abundance of wunderkinds, this could still happen.

Football Player Transfer Odds

It's safe to say that many football fans are still recovering from the exciting aftermath of the remšŸŒøarkable 2022/23 football season. This period saw unforgettable moments like Argentina's World Cup victory, Napoli clinchiź¦æng their third league title, City's triumphant treble-winning performance, as well as the heartbreak of Marco Reus and Dortmund.

All oāœ±f this has left us eagerly anticipating a summer full of blockbuster transfers. As we look forward to the upcoming 2023/2024 campšŸŒŠaign, here are some of the major transfer rumors currently making headlines, and the odds assigned to each player:

Harry Kane

The only thing keeping Tottenham relevant, Harry Kane is Englandā€™s all-time top scorer and the Premier Leagueā€™s top scorer for a single club. Every year Kane is linked with a big cšŸ”Ælub, and so far, his loyalty has reigned supreme, but with his time at the top level ticking, he may want to venture out.

Bayern Munich is currently the favourite to acquire Kane, with a Ā£70 million bid apparently already on the table. It remšŸ’›ains to be seen if he aims to win trophies or overtakes Shearer to become the Premier League top scorā™›er.

OutcomeOddsBookmaker
Any German Club1/2BetVictor
Bayern Munich11/10William Hill
Stay at Tottenham11/10bet365
Real Madrid10/1bet365
Manchester United12/1Coral

Declan Rice

Possibly the most interesting transfer saga so far this summer, Rice has finally confirmedź§… his departure from West Ham. With a remarkable record of over 200 appearances across all competitions and having led his team to their first European title in more than two šŸŒ³decades, he has undeniably earned the status of a club legend.

Although Arsenal and Manchester City are both reportedly interested in signing the homegrown talent, Rice has already rejecteą²Œd two offers by the Gunners, with City reportedly preparing a Ā£100 million bid. The bookies still have Arsenal as the favourites at 8/15, though, while City are priced at 7/4.

TransferOddsBookmaker
Arsenal10/11bet365
Manchester City7/4Unibet
Stay at West Ham22/110bet
Manchester United33/1Spreadex

Kylian MbappƩ

To the surprise of absolutely no one, Kylian MbappĆ© is back in the headlines as the Parisian is still looking for a move out of, well, ź¦”Paris. Although PSG awarded him one šŸ§œof the most lucrative deals ever last season, the lack of ambition at the club has proved to be too much for Kylian to handle.

That being said, such is the quality of his current contract that odds on Mbappe staying at PSG are currently at 1/1. If he had to leave, Real Madrid is by far the most likely destš†ination at odds of 16/1. Odds on a transfer to Manchester United are next at 16/1, buź¦œt we think is extremely unlikely.

TransferOddsBookmaker
Stay at PSG1/1bet365
Real Madrid10/11Spreadex
Manchester United16/1bet365

Josko Gvardiol

The Croatian has been a real standout this season, espšŸ¦©ecially at the World Cup where he led the defensive line, āœØtaking Croatia all the way to the semi-finals and eventually finishing third. Having played for RB Leipzig since 2021, a move to a top European club looks likely.

So far, the biggest contender for Gvardiolā€™s signature is Manchester City, although there is some chance that heā€™ll stay in Leipzig; meanwhile, Real Madrid has also reportedly shown interest.

OutcomeOddsBookmaker
Manchester City1/4Coral
Stay at Leipzig5/1bet365
Real Madrid20/1bet365
Bayern Munich28/1bet365

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

The Georgian whoā€™s putting his country on the map, Kvaratshelia, more affectionately known as Kvaradona, led Napoli to their third Serie A title, winning the clubā€™s and leagueā€™s player of the season. The man šŸŒ³is in high demand, although he seešŸ§œms content at Napoli for now.

Having said that, į€£all of Europeā€™s elite are fighting to sign Kvara, as the 22-year-old has shown heaps of potential this season. My guess is that heā€™ll stay on as the star manšŸ’› in a brilliant Napoli side.

OutcomeOddsBookmaker
Real Madrid5/1Unibet
Manchester City6/1Bet UK
Chelsea15/2Unibet
Arsenal8/1Unibet

Romelu Lukaku

What a rollercoaster of a career itā€™s been for Lukaku. After a Todd Boehly disaster class saw him come back to Chelsea for Ā£115 million, Lukaku made it clear he preferred Inter, being loaned out last season. A decent campaign with the Nerazzurri ended with him missing a sitter in the Champions League final – not ideal.

Itā€™s being reported that Lukaku is looking for a reunion with Inter, alšŸŽthough some Saudi Pro League clubs are also reportedly interested. Whatever happens, Chelsea will surely suffer a loss.

OutcomeOddsBookmaker
Inter Milan2/5Unibet
Any Saudi Club4/1Unibet
Stay at Chelsea6/1Bet UK
AC Milan8/1bet365

The summer of 2022 saw plenty of brilliant signings and a handful of doāœØdgy dealings as well. The likes of Erling Haaland, Richarlison and Sterling all made big money moves, and some have proven to be better than others. Here are the top transfers:

PosPlayerFromToFee
1AntonyAjaxManchester UnitedĀ£82 million
2Wesley FofanaLeicesterChelseaĀ£70 million
3AurĆ©lien TchouameniMonacoReal MadridĀ£69.4 million
4Darwin NĆŗƱezBenficaLiverpoolĀ£64 million
5CasemiroReal MadridManchester UnitedĀ£61 million
  • Antony was last summerā€™s biggest Premier League Transfer signing. Heā€™s flattered to decą“œeive this season, but the 22-year-old still has bags of potential. While it haā™snā€™t worked out amazingly so far, he looks to be one for the future.

  • Chelseaā€™s transfer downfall can be highlighted by this transfer. Fofana is a great player, but the fee involved was rather high for his standard, and his lack ofšŸ’– gź¦¦ame time has emphasised this. The young talent should improve at Chelsea, but it remains to be seen.

  • AurĆ©lien Tchouameni is an excellent young French footballer, playing the majority of Real Madridā€™s La Liga matches. The biggest La Liga Transfer this season, Tchouameni will surely improve his game, becoming a top Madridista. Coincidentally, heā€™s also been the biggest outgoing Ligue 1 Transfer.

  • Darwin NĆŗƱez had a rocky start to his Premier League life, but over time, thź¦‘e Uruguayan has started showing his talent a lot more. One of his biggest issues is that he canā€™t speak a word of English.

  • Casemiro is an absolutely inspired signing by Manchester United. By far the oldesšŸŒøt player on this list, he has brought some much-needed stability to the club. Heā€™s also had more goal cš’ˆ”ontributions than Antony!

PosPlayerFromToFee
1Enzo FernĆ”ndezBenficaChelseaĀ£106.8 million
2Mykhaylo MudrykShakhtar DonetskChelseaĀ£62 million
3Anthony GordonEvertonNewcastleĀ£45 million
4Cody GakpoPSV EindhovenLiverpoolĀ£37 million
5BenoĆ®t BadiashileMonacoChelseaĀ£35 million
  • The biggest signing this calendar year, Enzo FernĆ”ndez joined Chelsea for an astronomical fee, and heā€™s still finding his feešŸŒŗt in the league. The World Cupą“œ winner has tonnes of potential and will likely be a star man for the Blues, eventually.

  • The same thing can be said about Mykhaylo Mudryk, although he did come from a worse league. Brilliant on his day, Mudryk is anšŸ¦„other example of Chelseaā€™s overspending, but I believe that he could ā™come good.

  • Anthony Gordon has been woeful at Newcastle this season. The Magpies have gotten very little wrong this season, but Gordon has really struggled, only scoring one goal this seasonā–Ø.

  • Cody Gakpo could turn out to be a great signing for Liverpool. Heā€™s completely forgotten his shaky start to the campaign and is a driving force in the RedsšŸ”Æā€™ attack. He even scored in his first Merseyside Derbą·“y and scored a brace against rivals Manchester United.

  • Chelseaā€™s third inclusion, BenoĆ®t Badiashile, is a decent young defender who cošŸŒ uld be good value for money if hź©µe reaches his full potential. Chelsea has had one of their worst seasons in decades, and defensive stability is key to turning their fortunes around.

Transfer Betting in European Leagues

While mšŸ”Æost transfers are associated with the Premier League, don't overlook other top divisions which see plenty of fantastic signings too, providing plenty of potential value for punters.

For more on this, check out our specific transfer pages for each European lā™ˆeague.

PlayerMoveFeeYear
Neymar JrBarcelona To Paris Saint Germain Ā£198 million2017
Kylian MbappĆ©Monaco To Paris Saint Germain Ā£163 million2018
JoĆ£o FĆ©lixBenfica To AtlĆ©tico de MadridĀ£112.9 million2019
Antoine GriezmannAtlĆ©tico de Madrid To BarcelonaĀ£107 million2019
Enzo FernĆ”ndezBenfica to ChelseaĀ£106.8 million2023
Philippe CoutinhoLiverpool To BarcelonaĀ£105 million2018
Jack GrealishAston Villa to Manchester CityĀ£100 million2021
Romelu LukakuInter Milan to ChelseaĀ£97.5 million2021
Ousmane DembĆ©leBVB To BarcelonaĀ£97 million2017
Paul Pogba Juventus To Man UtdĀ£89 million2016

The transfer window opens twice a year – in summer and winter – providing an excellent opportunity for teams to bolster their squads. Itā€™s also great for punters, with player transfer betting especially brilliant during the summer window when not much football goes on. To get started, simply pick one of the bookmakers we've recommended above!

Betting on football transfers is fantastic – it gives you the chance to bet on the sport during the off-season, you can find some great value, and the research youā€™ve done will definitely help you in future bets.

That depends on the bet youā€™ve placed. If you simply bet on the player to mošŸƒve, then donā€™t worry, your bet is fine. If, however, you bet on a player to go to a specific club, youā€™ll lose your stake.

Yes ā€“ with most top betting sites UK, yź§™ou always havšŸ§”e the option of betting on a player not to move.

There sure is, and you can read more about it in our manager betting guide.

In some cases, yes. Obviously, these will not break any transfer records, but they still see a player move to his next permanent club. Itā€™s a good idea to bookmark a few football websites that specialise inš’€° analysis and stats so you can keep up-tšŸ“–o-date with the latest transfer news.

Yes ā€“ the 2023 summer transfer window has seen most players being linked with ‘Any Saudi Pro League Clubā€™ and this is quite common for many leagues.

Author Avatar
 WRITTENā™‹ BY Jeremy Sant Fournier View aš’Ŗll posts by Jeremy Sant Fournier

If thereā€™s one thing Jeremy loves, itā€™s sports. A football fanatic at heart, Jeremy can always been founšŸ‘d watching, playing or talking about sports. Itā€™s in his blood, and with a keen interest in sports betting, sports writing is a match made in heaven.

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